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| US Bonds Review |
US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.
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Stress In The Banking System Rising
After a decade of near-zero yields driven by weak inflation and aggressive monetary easing, Japan’s government bond market has been upended by the return of inflation and the end of negative interest rates. The benchmark 10-year yield has surged above 1.5%, its highest since 2008, as investors sell off bonds amid concerns about Japan’s heavy debt load, slowing Bank of Japan (BoJ) bond purchases, and weak demand from traditional buyers. Long-term yields have risen even faster, with 30-year bonds topping 3.2%. Political uncertainty and poor debt auctions have added pressure, prompting the BoJ and finance ministry to slow tapering and reduce issuance. Analysts warn that rising Japanese yields could draw domestic investors away from overseas markets, reshaping global bond flows. The key question now is how far the BoJ will raise rates, and whether the sell-off has further to run.
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