Wednesday, January 14, 2026

US #TreasuryBond Review $TLT $IEF - The CPI Tells Us Nothing

US Bonds Review
Short-term price fluctuations do not influence long-term trends, cycles, and profitability. The majority, guided by price trends and emotions, concentrate on short-term trading noise rather than cyclical trends of price, time, and energy. This focus creates confusion, frustration, missed chances, and typically leaves them holding the bag during trend shifts. Investors can sidestep this pattern by embracing the Evolution of the Trade and aligning with the minority.

US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

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The CPI Tells Us Nothing

Inflation remained elevated but showed signs of cooling in December, according to new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The consumer price index rose 0.3% for the month and held steady at 2.7% year over year, while core inflation eased slightly to 2.6%. Both measures came in below economists’ expectations, suggesting price pressures are moderating but still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Food and housing costs continued to be key drivers of inflation, with shelter posting the largest monthly increase. Energy prices rose modestly, though gasoline prices declined from a year earlier. Economists cautioned that recent data may be distorted by disruptions caused by the government shutdown, making trends harder to interpret. Still, markets largely expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged later this month as policymakers weigh lingering inflation against signs of a slowing economy.

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Our commentary begins with the discussion that the CPI is a useless statistic.





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